'hive of activity' - either shopping and going about normal life, or medical teams hauling bodies out by the dozens, stacking them like cordwood, etc. Seems like we have to define the win outcome a little better!
By that I mean much industry shall have returned to work (but not back to normal) and there will be big efforts made to reboot the economy. The breakout has already started, I see a significant change in the last week or so to when the lock down started, more people on my high st in the daytime, more traffic on the roads, some of the stalls even set up on our Wednesday market this week. Businesses / industries are plotting their strategy to get folk back to work soon and in my opinion we are about to change strategy to social distancing and PPE to bring us out of lock down.
For the benefit of doubt, I personally am not advocating coming out of lock down anytime soon, but i do believe the curve will be having a steep decline by the end of May and it will be time to be thinking about it. Regarding a second wave, I do believe their will be one but not to the disastrous scale you appear to be predicting and not even close to what we have seen here since early March.
This is not nice to think about but it is my opinion. The Governments strategy was to ensure our health service was not overwhelmed. The virus was to be slowed down so as it was manageable. Deaths were to be expected, and more deaths will be both expected and accepted as part of the process. As i said before, there is still an element of herd immunity mentality and people are to a degree considered expendable, and will be to get the economy rebooted.
This Government committed to pay 80% of the country's wage bill for 3 months as well as hand out unrepayable grants and repayable loans to the tune of feck knows what. You can be sure that with the strong downward curve by the end of this month they will be looking to make that 2 months for most and reduce the perceived cost of all this. People will be charged with being responsible in protecting themselves and others as we come out of lock down with the emphasis on PPE and distancing.
Sports such as footbal in my opinion will be back by June, behind closed doors.
As previously stated, any notion some may have of the country standing still until such times as it is totally safe for everyone just isnt going to happen. You watch.